Category: Blog
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Serie A 2021/2022 Teams with Low xG but High Conversion – Signs of Overperformance Ahead
The 2021/2022 Serie A season featured several clubs outperforming their expected-goal models. These teams recorded fewer quality chances but displayed remarkably efficient finishing, pushing results beyond sustainable levels. A data-informed bettor understands that such performance gaps rarely persist — they often signal regression points once finishing precision normalizes. Why Overperformance Reflects Fragility, Not Superiority When actual…